Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.104171 0.115275 0.126633 0.139090 0.152344 0.165996 0.181095
2025-02-02 0.085689 0.102279 0.120072 0.140452 0.163028 0.187156 0.214778
2025-02-09 0.073327 0.093628 0.116319 0.143265 0.174104 0.208021 0.247868
2025-02-16 0.062010 0.084440 0.110497 0.142465 0.180104 0.222518 0.273432
2025-02-23 0.057101 0.081978 0.111789 0.149305 0.194442 0.246233 0.309384
2025-03-02 0.052541 0.079281 0.112260 0.154728 0.206806 0.267504 0.342511
2025-03-09 0.044983 0.071914 0.106236 0.151574 0.208334 0.275604 0.359911
2025-03-16 0.038130 0.064737 0.099802 0.147309 0.207990 0.281064 0.373860
2025-03-23 0.035639 0.063267 0.100579 0.152046 0.218717 0.299887 0.403894
2025-03-30 0.032804 0.061005 0.100059 0.154913 0.226964 0.315629 0.430234
2025-04-06 0.030933 0.059959 0.101050 0.159673 0.237588 0.334336 0.460296
2025-04-13 0.027699 0.056530 0.098462 0.159416 0.241567 0.344654 0.480000
2025-04-20 0.027540 0.058084 0.103271 0.169719 0.260042 0.374109 0.524627
2025-04-27 0.025013 0.055635 0.102180 0.171876 0.267870 0.390286 0.553064
2025-05-04 0.023058 0.053933 0.102060 0.175327 0.277440 0.408793 0.584639
2025-05-11 0.020270 0.050487 0.099065 0.174498 0.281108 0.419643 0.606563
2025-05-18 0.019723 0.050963 0.102085 0.182360 0.296701 0.446115 0.648581
2025-05-25 0.018865 0.050764 0.103986 0.188569 0.310049 0.469733 0.687098
2025-06-01 0.016138 0.046688 0.099420 0.184971 0.309579 0.475008 0.701899
2025-06-08 0.013506 0.042408 0.094196 0.180096 0.307080 0.477417 0.712865
2025-06-15 0.012883 0.042199 0.095735 0.185513 0.319196 0.499418 0.749468
2025-06-22 0.011963 0.041238 0.095913 0.188787 0.328246 0.517344 0.780839
2025-06-29 0.011438 0.041091 0.097474 0.194219 0.340441 0.539597 0.818027